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DELTA 2015: HOW SENATOR IFEANYI OKOWA WILL WIN



As the April 11 governorship polls to decide who governs Delta State sets in, there is need to give insight into how the elections will play out. From all indices and projections by pundits, Senator Ifeanyi Okowa, candidate of the Peoples’ Democratic Party is projected to become the winner of the polls.

First, Delta State is a stronghold of the PDP and will remain so for the foreseeable future. Since the return of democracy in May 1999, Delta has given over 75% of its votes at every election to the PDP. In the March 28, Presidential poll, the same feat was replicated as the PDP scored over 1.2million votes.

PDP is so entrenched across all the wards and local governments across the State making it difficult to be uprooted easily. The so called bandwagon effect that seems to momentarily put APC in speculative advantage will ultimately prove to be a mere wishful thinking.

Another reason Senator Okowa will win is the strong sentiment for zoning in the State. The popular clamour for power shift to Delta North Senatorial District is an idea whose time has come and the opposition cannot overcome the movement. Besides, APC and Labour party have no foothold either in Delta North or South.

Delta Central Senatorial District, which should ordinarily be for the two opposition parties, is a battleground for the three major political parties. The odds against the opposition are formidable in some of the local government areas in Delta Central, which will make it firmly split between PDP and LP.

The recent voting pattern reflected it, as the PDP won on all elections in the State. The simple projection is that this is Senator Ifeanyi Okowa’s election to win.

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